Sunday, August 7, 2011

What's the relationship between subprime/credit crisis and the Treasury Bond rate?

Much of the subprime mess relates to variable rate mortgages that lots of people are barely able to pay. If interest rates werre to go up, millions of these mortgages would adjust up and many more people could not afford the payments. Thus, foreclosures wold skyrocket (more than they have) causing more of a housing glut making this market even softer. So, the few really needs to keep interest rates as low as possible to avoid this problem as much as possible, but as you mentioned they also need to worry about inflation and may need to raise rates in fear of that. In short they walk a tight rope between the 2 fears (inflation and housing problems) as well as other fears and must set the rates taking these both into account.

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